FUTURE OF AMERICA?
The Revolution in Military Affairs and Conflict Short of War
Source: Strategic Studies Institute United States Army War College
Written by Dr. Steven Metz (who works for the RAND Corporation) and James Kievit. Recent events have made this paper even more important than ever. This document outlines an eerily familiar scenario in which a group of revolutionaries within the US government hijack control of the levers of power and begin a program of pre-emptive war, psychological operations at home and abroad, and false flag attacks.
Brief Synopsis:
The authors concede that the revolution in military affairs holds great promise for conventional, combined-arms warfare, but conclude that its potential value in conflict short of war, whether terrorism, insurgency, or violence associated with narcotrafficking, is not so clear-cut. Given this, national leaders and strategists should proceed cautiously and only after a full exploration of the ethical, political, and social implications of their decisions. To illustrate this, the authors develop a hypothetical future scenario--a "history" of U.S. efforts in conflict short of war during the first decade of the 21st century. It is too early to offer concrete policy prescriptions for adapting many aspects of the revolution in military affairs to conflict short of war, but the authors do suggest an array of questions that should be debated. In order to decide whether to apply new technology and emerging concepts or how to employ them, the United States must first reach consensus on ultimate objectives and acceptable costs. READ ENTIRE PAPER
The 1994 paper uncannily forecasted the future in a “hypothetical future history” in the year 2010. The hypothetical situation contains many disturbing predictions, several of which have come true. After a series of terrorist attacks, foreign policy “fiascos” and various disputes between “supporters of multinational peace operations” and “isolationists”, a small number of “revolutionaries” recruits members in all branches of the U.S. government and shift American foreign policy to a practice of pre-emption. Computer generated insurgents claim responsibility for attacks that U.S. forces carry out, traditional boundaries between military and law enforcement are abolished, subliminal conditioning is used in combination with propaganda, and bioelectric tags are implanted in citizens. As predicted in the document, 2010 is the year that the revolutionaries’ goals would be met. With stunning accuracy, the election of 2012 is mentioned in the document as being an extremely important date in America’s history, as “…Americans are beginning to question the economic, human, and ethical costs of our new strategy…” The document continues “…There are even rumblings of discontent within the national security community as the full meaning of the revolution becomes clear.”
SUMMARY: Many American strategic thinkers believe that we are in the beginning stages of a historical revolution in military affairs (RMA) . This will not only change the nature of warfare, but also alter the global geopolitical balance.The Cold War notion of conflict short of war is obsolete. Politically and militarily, the Third World of the future will be full of danger. The future will most likely be dominated by peace enforcement in failed states, new forms of insurgency and terrorism, and "gray area phenomena." Many if not most Third World states will fragment into smaller units. Ungovernability and instability will be the norm with power dispersed among warlords, primal militias, and well-organized politico-criminal organizations. There are a number of constraints on applying the RMA to conflict short of war. These include the lack of a powerful institutional advocate for this process, a shortage of money for the development of technology specifically for conflict short of war, and the possibility that new technology may run counter to American values.
Globalist and Council On Foreign Relations Guru Zbigniew Brzezinski admitted last year that “…For the first time in all of human history: mankind is politically awakened…that’s a total new reality…total new reality.”
CFR Meeting: Zbigniew Brzezinski Fears The Global Awakening
The Revolution in Military Affairs and Conflict Short of War
Source: Strategic Studies Institute United States Army War College
Written by Dr. Steven Metz (who works for the RAND Corporation) and James Kievit. Recent events have made this paper even more important than ever. This document outlines an eerily familiar scenario in which a group of revolutionaries within the US government hijack control of the levers of power and begin a program of pre-emptive war, psychological operations at home and abroad, and false flag attacks.
Brief Synopsis:
The authors concede that the revolution in military affairs holds great promise for conventional, combined-arms warfare, but conclude that its potential value in conflict short of war, whether terrorism, insurgency, or violence associated with narcotrafficking, is not so clear-cut. Given this, national leaders and strategists should proceed cautiously and only after a full exploration of the ethical, political, and social implications of their decisions. To illustrate this, the authors develop a hypothetical future scenario--a "history" of U.S. efforts in conflict short of war during the first decade of the 21st century. It is too early to offer concrete policy prescriptions for adapting many aspects of the revolution in military affairs to conflict short of war, but the authors do suggest an array of questions that should be debated. In order to decide whether to apply new technology and emerging concepts or how to employ them, the United States must first reach consensus on ultimate objectives and acceptable costs. READ ENTIRE PAPER
The 1994 paper uncannily forecasted the future in a “hypothetical future history” in the year 2010. The hypothetical situation contains many disturbing predictions, several of which have come true. After a series of terrorist attacks, foreign policy “fiascos” and various disputes between “supporters of multinational peace operations” and “isolationists”, a small number of “revolutionaries” recruits members in all branches of the U.S. government and shift American foreign policy to a practice of pre-emption. Computer generated insurgents claim responsibility for attacks that U.S. forces carry out, traditional boundaries between military and law enforcement are abolished, subliminal conditioning is used in combination with propaganda, and bioelectric tags are implanted in citizens. As predicted in the document, 2010 is the year that the revolutionaries’ goals would be met. With stunning accuracy, the election of 2012 is mentioned in the document as being an extremely important date in America’s history, as “…Americans are beginning to question the economic, human, and ethical costs of our new strategy…” The document continues “…There are even rumblings of discontent within the national security community as the full meaning of the revolution becomes clear.”
SUMMARY: Many American strategic thinkers believe that we are in the beginning stages of a historical revolution in military affairs (RMA) . This will not only change the nature of warfare, but also alter the global geopolitical balance.The Cold War notion of conflict short of war is obsolete. Politically and militarily, the Third World of the future will be full of danger. The future will most likely be dominated by peace enforcement in failed states, new forms of insurgency and terrorism, and "gray area phenomena." Many if not most Third World states will fragment into smaller units. Ungovernability and instability will be the norm with power dispersed among warlords, primal militias, and well-organized politico-criminal organizations. There are a number of constraints on applying the RMA to conflict short of war. These include the lack of a powerful institutional advocate for this process, a shortage of money for the development of technology specifically for conflict short of war, and the possibility that new technology may run counter to American values.
Globalist and Council On Foreign Relations Guru Zbigniew Brzezinski admitted last year that “…For the first time in all of human history: mankind is politically awakened…that’s a total new reality…total new reality.”
CFR Meeting: Zbigniew Brzezinski Fears The Global Awakening
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